Here is a list of selected publications related to our work at Systems Forecasting.

Biology/Pharmacology

Mistry, H. (2016). Misuse of null hypothesis testing: analysis of biophysical model simulations. Heart Rhythm.

Mistry, H. (2016). Time-dependent bias of tumour growth rate and time to tumour re-growth. CPT: Pharmacometrics and Systems Pharmacology.

Mistry, H. (2016). Complexity v Simplicity, the winner is? Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics.

Wendling, T., Mistry, H., Ogungbenro, K., & Aarons, L. (2016). Predicting survival of pancreatic cancer patients treated with gemcitabine using longitudinal tumour size data. Cancer Chemotherapy and Pharmacology, 77(5), 927.

Mistry, H. B., Davies, M. R., & Veroli, G. Y. D. (2015). A new classifier-based strategy for in-silico ion-channel cardiac drug safety assessment. Frontiers in pharmacology.

Orrell, D. and Fernandez, E. (2010). Using predictive mathematical models to optimise the scheduling of anti-cancer drugs.  Innovations in Pharmaceutical Technology, 59-62, June 2010.

Ramsey, S., Orrell, D., De Atauri, P. and Bolouri, H. (2005). A method to estimate stochastic noise in large genetic regulatory networks. Bioinformatics, 21, 208-217.

Ramsey, S., Orrell, D., and Bolouri, H. (2005). Dizzy: Stochastic simulation of large-scale genetic regulatory networks. J. Bioinformatics Comput. Biol., 3 (2), 1-21.

Economics/Finance

Wilmott, P. and Orrell, D. (2017) The Money Formula: Dodgy Finance, Pseudo Science, and How Mathematicians Took Over the Markets. Chichester: Wiley.

Orrell, D. (2016). A Quantum Theory of Money and Value.  Economic Thought, 5 (2), 19-28.

Orrell, D. and Chlupatý, R. (2016). The Evolution of Money. New York: Columbia University Press.

Orrell, D. and McSharry, P. (2009).  Systems economics: Overcoming the pitfalls of forecasting models via a multidisciplinary approach. International Journal of Forecasting, 25, 734-43.